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America Saw ‘Essentially No Job Growth’ Last Month, Moody’s Warns

Private data shows the US labor market was weak in September with an estimated loss of 32,000 private sector jobs and gains concentrated in three wealthy states, Moody's said.

  • Last month, Moody's analysis showed averaging Revelio and ADP suggests essentially no job growth, with gains almost exclusively in California, New York, and Massachusetts.
  • The government shutdown disabled the BLS' usual data releases, halting the September report slated for Friday that economists polled by LSEG expected to show a 50,000-job gain.
  • Private reports highlighted a decline in private-sector jobs last month, with gains in the healthcare sector concentrated at very large companies over 500 employees while smaller companies faced losses.
  • Markets climbed confidently despite missing jobs data last week, while economists warned that lacking Bureau of Labor Statistics figures hampers economic and policy assessments.
  • Analysts note private data fills the void, but Moody's Analytics chief economist Mark Zandi wrote `While not a replacement, there are good private sources of jobs data`, even as forecasters warned official figures may be distorted.
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Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Analytics, posted on social media platform X on Sunday (October 5) that data showed the U.S. job market was "weak and continuing to deteriorate," and the future was not optimistic.

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Fortune broke the news in New York, United States on Monday, October 6, 2025.
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