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Almost 2 in 3 fear recession is coming: Survey

  • A survey by Realtor.com in early 2025 found that 63.4 percent of prospective U.S. Homebuyers expect a recession within the next year.
  • This rising recession expectation follows increased recession chances after the Trump administration's tariffs and growing uncertainty around trade policies.
  • Despite concerns, 29.8 percent hoped a downturn could make homes more affordable, while more than half said their buying plans would not change.
  • Analysts estimate recession chances range from 35 to 60 percent, with J.P. Morgan noting tariff reductions could lower risks, while employment growth remains a key stabilizer.
  • Experts warn that a recession could weaken housing demand by raising unemployment and foreclosures, but lower mortgage rates might eventually ease affordability pressures.
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The Hill broke the news in Washington, United States on Monday, May 19, 2025.
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