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A last-minute surge in exports saved Mexico from recession in 2025

Mexico's strong exports saved the economy from a recession in 2025 as GDP rebounded in the final quarter thanks to growth in trade.

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Mexico's gross domestic product (GDP) grew by 0.5% in 2024 and increased by 1.6 % from October to December, recovering from two quarters of falls.

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By Fabiola Sánchez, Mexico City (AP) — Mexico's economy closed 2025 with 0.7% growth thanks to the boost from the agricultural and services sectors, allowing it to overcome the uncertainty unleashed by Donald Trump's tariff policy, which impacted key sectors such as manufacturing. This result dispelled fears of a possible recession that arose after a dismal third quarter when Mexican production fell by 0.3%.

·United States
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Lean Right

Mexico's economy recovered in the last stretch of 2025 and avoided a technical recession after falling in the third quarter due to the impact of Donald Trump's tariffs and low investment, according to the timely estimate published by the National Institute of Statistics and Geography (Inegi) on Friday, January 30. Mexico's Gross Domestic Product rose 0.8 percent in the fourth quarter of 2025 compared to the previous three months, above the media…

·Mexico
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Lean Right

Growth was guaranteed by gains in industrial production and the service sector, resulting in a reverse contract of 0.3% registered in the previous period

·Brazil
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Lean Left

Mexico’s economy has waged a recession in 2025. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) grew 0.7% last year, according to the Timely Estimate of the National Institute of Statistics and Geographies (Inegi), published on Friday. Paradoxically, in a year marked by the U.S. tariff war, the record performance of Mexican exports saved Mexico’s GDP from a major setback. Last year, shipments of goods abroad exceeded $664.8 billion, an increase of 7.6% over 2024. …

·Spain
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El Economista broke the news in on Friday, January 30, 2026.
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