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UK inflation rises by more than expected to 3.5% as war drives up fuel prices

Transport costs drove the biggest rise as core and services inflation also climbed, increasing pressure on the Bank of England to raise rates.

  • The Consumer Prices Index rose to 3.5% in September from 3.1%, according to the Office for National Statistics, marking the highest annual inflation rate in 12 months.
  • Conflicts in the Middle East and Europe squeezed global oil supplies, driving petrol and diesel prices sharply higher, with average diesel surpassing £2 a litre this month, according to RAC figures.
  • Rob Wood and Elliott Jordan-Doak, UK economists for Pantheon, attributed the surge to higher motor fuel costs, while the end of a temporary summer VAT cut also contributed to rising prices.
  • The price acceleration ahead of John Healey's first Budget cemented expectations for a Monetary Policy Committee interest rate hike, reversing the Bank of England's prior easing cycle.
  • September's reading continues an upward inflation trend in Britain, following earlier prints of 2.9% and 3.1%, as energy shocks have driven overall price pressures throughout the summer.
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Lean Left

UK inflation rise to highest in almost a year as Iran war drives fuel prices higher

Inflation in the U.K. has risen to its highest rate in almost a year as the Iran war continues to drive up fuel prices

·New York, United States
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Lean Right

"The transport sector, particularly that of fuels, contributed most to [...] annual CPI rates, or inflation," the UK National Statistics Office said.

·Lisboa, Portugal
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The Independent broke the news in London, United Kingdom on Tuesday, October 20, 2026.
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