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Citing trade wars, the World Bank sharply downgrades global economic growth forecast to 2.3%

  • The World Bank downgraded its forecast for global economic growth in 2025 to 2.3%, attributing the revision to disruptions caused by ongoing trade uncertainties.
  • This downgrade follows U.S. President Donald Trump's April tariffs on many countries and ongoing trade negotiations with China and the EU.
  • The bank also cut U.S. growth to 1.4%, euro area growth to 0.7%, and echoed OECD's slower 2.9% global growth prediction amid trade tensions.
  • Indermit Gill, World Bank Vice President, stated that if current trade conflicts were settled through deals reducing tariffs by half, the global economy might experience an approximate 0.2 percentage point increase in growth during 2025 and 2026.
  • The forecast suggests trade conflicts have harmed economic prospects worldwide and that resolution could modestly improve growth and living standards.
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In view of US President Trump's customs policy, the World Bank has lowered its economic forecasts.

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The global economy is being held back by a tariff war, and developing countries are slowing down their catch-up. Expectations for the United States have been sharply downgraded.

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The National broke the news in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates on Tuesday, June 10, 2025.
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