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Lula and Flavio Bolsonaro in Neck-to-Neck Contest as Counting Continues in Brazil Presidential Elections

Official results show Flávio Bolsonaro leading Lula by 50.30% to 49.70% as 37.40% of polling sections are counted.

  • On Sunday, October 25, 2026, conservative Senator Flávio Bolsonaro leads President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in Brazil's presidential runoff with 50.30% of valid votes against 49.70%, according to the Superior Electoral Court .
  • Brazil's presidential runoff occurred because no candidate secured more than half of valid votes on October 4. The winner will take office on January 5, 2027, after court certification in December.
  • With 37.40% of polling sections counted, Senator Bolsonaro maintains leads in Rio de Janeiro and the South, while President Lula holds advantages in northeastern states like Bahia and Pernambuco.
  • A narrow gap of 274,659 votes separates the two candidates from 46,083,401 valid ballots cast. Investors await the São Paulo exchange reopening Monday, October 26, for the first market reaction.
  • Prediction markets show divergent expectations: Polymarket places Bolsonaro's winning chance at 35% and Kalshi at 23%. Official certification occurs in December after the court completes the final count.
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25 Articles

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Lean Right

With around 60 percent of the votes counted, Sunday's presidential election in Brazil is shaping up to be a thriller.

·Borås, Sweden
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Lean Right

Opposition candidate holds 50.32% of valid votes against President Lula's 49.68%, according to electoral authorities

·Ankara, Türkiye
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Lean Right

The right-wing candidate, Flavio Bolsonru, has slightly increased the gap between the current President of Brazil, Luis Inácio Lula da Silva, in the election of the Head of State, based on a count of 35 per cent of the votes published by the Supreme Electoral Court.

Center

São Paulo, Oct 25 (EFE).- The ultra-rightist Senator Flávio Bolsonaro leads the recount of the second round of the Brazilian presidential elections with 50.51% of the votes, compared to 49.49 % of President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, according to official results with 25% of the ballot box. The candidate who [...] The Flávio Bolsonaro entry remains ahead of Lula, with 25% of the ballot box counted was first published in HolaNews.

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conclusion.com.ar broke the news on Sunday, October 25, 2026.
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