Lula and Flavio Bolsonaro in Neck-to-Neck Contest as Counting Continues in Brazil Presidential Elections
Official results show Flávio Bolsonaro leading Lula by 50.30% to 49.70% as 37.40% of polling sections are counted.
- On Sunday, October 25, 2026, conservative Senator Flávio Bolsonaro leads President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in Brazil's presidential runoff with 50.30% of valid votes against 49.70%, according to the Superior Electoral Court .
- Brazil's presidential runoff occurred because no candidate secured more than half of valid votes on October 4. The winner will take office on January 5, 2027, after court certification in December.
- With 37.40% of polling sections counted, Senator Bolsonaro maintains leads in Rio de Janeiro and the South, while President Lula holds advantages in northeastern states like Bahia and Pernambuco.
- A narrow gap of 274,659 votes separates the two candidates from 46,083,401 valid ballots cast. Investors await the São Paulo exchange reopening Monday, October 26, for the first market reaction.
- Prediction markets show divergent expectations: Polymarket places Bolsonaro's winning chance at 35% and Kalshi at 23%. Official certification occurs in December after the court completes the final count.
25 Articles
25 Articles
With around 60 percent of the votes counted, Sunday's presidential election in Brazil is shaping up to be a thriller.
Opposition candidate holds 50.32% of valid votes against President Lula's 49.68%, according to electoral authorities
The right-wing candidate, Flavio Bolsonru, has slightly increased the gap between the current President of Brazil, Luis Inácio Lula da Silva, in the election of the Head of State, based on a count of 35 per cent of the votes published by the Supreme Electoral Court.
São Paulo, Oct 25 (EFE).- The ultra-rightist Senator Flávio Bolsonaro leads the recount of the second round of the Brazilian presidential elections with 50.51% of the votes, compared to 49.49 % of President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, according to official results with 25% of the ballot box. The candidate who [...] The Flávio Bolsonaro entry remains ahead of Lula, with 25% of the ballot box counted was first published in HolaNews.
Brazil election: razor-thin race as count continues
With roughly 22% of ballots counted, Flávio Bolsonar holds a narrow lead over President Lula in the presidential runoff, according to official TSE figures.The Northeast, a traditional Lula stronghold, is reporting more slowly than other regions....
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