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U.S. Intelligence Says Iran Nuclear Timeline Unchanged After Strikes: Reuters

Analysts say the strikes damaged key sites but left Iran’s stockpile intact, keeping the estimate at up to a year to make a weapon.

  • U.S. intelligence assessments indicate Iran's timeline to produce bomb-grade uranium remains nine months to a year, unchanged since last summer despite recent U.S. and Israeli military strikes.
  • Recent U.S. and Israeli military campaigns focused on conventional targets and air defenses rather than prioritizing nuclear-related facilities, explaining why the timeline estimate remained unchanged.
  • Eric Brewer, vice president of the Nuclear Threat Initiative, said Iran still possesses its nuclear material, likely stored in deeply buried underground sites where U.S. munitions cannot penetrate.
  • To significantly impede Iran's efforts, U.S. officials are contemplating dangerous operations, including ground raids to retrieve 440 kilograms of 60 percent enriched uranium stored at the Isfahan Nuclear Research Center.
  • Vice President JD Vance wrote on March 2 that "Iran can never be allowed to obtain a nuclear weapon," as the U.S. and Iran maintain an April 7 truce amid rising tensions.
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Lean Right

Situation hasn't changed since last year's attacks and recent wave because most of the country's enriched uranium remains buried

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Lean Left

PoliticsSecret US estimates challenge Donald Trump's Iran strategy. Despite military strikes, the intelligence service sees little progress in the nuclear program – success remains controversial.

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  • 41% of the sources lean Right
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VG broke the news in Oslo, Norway on Monday, May 4, 2026.
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