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U.S. Intel Finds Putin Could Test NATO’s Resolve With Limited Incursion: WSJ

U.S. officials say the Kremlin could use cyberattacks, sabotage or a small ground incursion to split NATO, with risk rising through 2029.

  • New U.S. intelligence reports suggest that Russian President Vladimir Putin may soon attempt to challenge NATO's resolve by conducting a limited military or cyber strike against a member state.
  • The assessment reflects a shift in intelligence perspectives, as officials now believe Putin may seek to fracture the alliance to distract from ongoing struggles and domestic pressure regarding the war in Ukraine.
  • Potential scenarios for such provocations range from small-scale ground incursions to cyberattacks, intended to test the alliance's political cohesion.
  • These concerns are exacerbated by significant U.S. military supply shortages, specifically regarding long-range precision-guided missiles and tactical air defense systems, which have been depleted by global conflicts.
  • While the Kremlin's long-term objectives remain centered on undermining confidence in NATO, the potential for a direct, limited confrontation is now considered a near-term possibility as the war in Ukraine continues.
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Putin is planning an attack on NATO countries. The offensive could take place as early as this fall and with the aim of splitting the defense alliance. – It has always been a goal to challenge NATO's credibility and to separate the United States from its allies, says Heather Conley, an expert, to the Wall Street Journal.

·Stockholm, Sweden
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Political Wire broke the news in New York, United States on Thursday, August 6, 2026.
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