US forecaster says over 79% chance of strong-to-very strong El Niño in January to March
- On Thursday, the US Climate Prediction Center reported El Niño is strengthening, with greater than 79% chance of a 'Very Strong' event persisting through March 2027.
- Ocean temperatures in the equatorial Pacific are running 2.5 degrees Celsius above average, placing the event in the 'Very Strong' category defined by waters above 2 degrees Celsius.
- India's finance ministry warned that intensifying El Niño threatens soil moisture and crop yields, while AccuWeather forecaster Jason Nicholls said India's 2027 monsoon 'could also be drier than normal.'
- AccuWeather senior meteorologist Chad Merrill said a 'likely dry winter in the Corn Belt region could result in more irrigation needed,' while NOAA estimates 60% chance this event exceeds all records since 1950.
- Drought and wildfires are impacting Malaysia and Indonesia, while California could experience significant weather effects linked to historically memorable winter storms from this climate pattern.
37 Articles
37 Articles
El Niño Not Just Pretty Good Any More, It Is Officially *Super*!
Photo by NOAA on UnsplashThe El Niño is here and it’s officially super! NOAA’s National Weather Service, which apparently still exists so far despite the Trump administration’s best efforts, has made a pronouncement.The CPC Official ENSO outlook, which synthesizes multiple models from North America and abroad, indicates El Niño will continue to strengthen before beginning to weaken in early 2027. Chances for a historic event exceeding previous E…
El Niño nears record strength: what it could mean for Colorado and the nation
El Niño nears record strength: what it could mean for Colorado and the nation mps-post Fri, 11/13/2026 - 09:53 Image Kiowa County Press The El Niño building in the Pacific Ocean grew stronger again in October, and federal forecasters now say it has a better-than-even chance of becoming the strongest since record keeping began in 1950. If it does, its effects could be felt across the United States this winter, from wetter weather along the sout…
The phenomenon of ‘El Niño’ is once again at the centre of international weather concerns. The latest forecasts of scientific organisms point to the fact that the episode that is developing in the Pacific Ocean will reach its maximum intensity around December 2026. The forecasts are extraordinary, as some models contemplate anomalies ... Continue reading “The phenomenon of ‘Super Niño’ already has a date to reach its maximum intensity: December …
Odds continue to favor a record El Niño winter ahead, according to latest NOAA update
As El Niño continues to strengthen, ocean temperatures in the equatorial Pacific are running extremely warm, putting us in the highest "Very Strong" category through at least March 2027.
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