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Moody's Chief Economist Mark Zandi Warns Fed Faces High Bar To Avoid Rate Cuts As Weak Jobs Trump Inflation Risks Ahead Of CPI Report

Indian stock markets are expected to respond to the US Federal Reserve's likely 25 basis points rate cut and domestic Wholesale Price Index inflation data, influencing investor sentiment and trade talks.

  • Analysts say the key drivers this week are the US Fed meeting and WPI inflation readings, with the US Federal Open Market Committee meeting on September 16 and 17 influencing Indian stock markets.
  • Rising US inflation and weak jobs data have pushed markets to price in cuts, with US consumer price index at 2.9% in August and signs of US labour market slowing.
  • On the technical front, analysts note the Nifty tested 25,150, with upside targets in the 25,250–25,500 range and the 100-DEMA around 24,650 as support; Foreign Institutional Investors were net buyers in two sessions, including Rs 129.58 crore inflows on Friday.
  • Analysts expect a 25 bps Fed cut, with Ipek Ozkardeskaya noting `Two more cuts are already fully priced in before year-end` and markets pricing two or three rate cuts in 2025.
  • Broader optimism around GST-led consumption and Fed easing expectations underpins the positive outlook, with Siddhartha Khemka noting GST rate cuts from September 22, 2025, and US-India trade negotiations as key domestic catalysts.
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The National broke the news in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates on Saturday, September 13, 2025.
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