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Unpacking the Conflicting Assessments on Iran Strikes

  • President Donald Trump rejected a June 25 intelligence assessment in The Hague that U.S. strikes had only marginally set back Iran's nuclear program.
  • Trump and administration officials claimed the strikes severely damaged Iran’s nuclear facilities, while some intelligence and media reports suggested the setback lasted only a few months.
  • The White House and Israeli authorities described the attack as devastating with key facilities obliterated, but others, including Jeffrey Lewis, warned Iran could restart quickly.
  • Trump said the strikes were "very, very successful" and no other military could have done it, emphasizing that damage was severe and denying the program's recovery.
  • The dispute over the damage assessment fueled investigations into intelligence leaks and underscored tensions within the administration amid plans to resume talks with Iran soon.
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71% Center
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National Review broke the news in United States on Monday, June 23, 2025.
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