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UK employers warns of slower growth, higher unemployment

The business group said higher energy costs and weaker investment will push unemployment to 5.5% and slow GDP growth in 2026 and 2027.

  • On Tuesday, the Confederation of British Industry cut its forecast for UK economic growth, warning that the Iran war and rising energy prices will squeeze living standards as unemployment reaches its highest level in over a decade.
  • Inflation is projected to accelerate towards 4% by the end of this year, while the Bank of England is expected to maintain interest rates at 3.75% for the remainder of 2026 to manage persistent economic pressures.
  • Unemployment is expected to worsen, with around 200,000 more Britons losing their jobs as the rate climbs to 5.5% this year, up from the current 5%, or around 1.8 million people.
  • CBI Chief Executive Rain Newton-Smith urged Prime Minister Keir Starmer's government last week not to treat business as "a cash tap," as GDP growth forecasts for 2026 and 2027 were cut to 1.1% and 0.9% respectively.
  • Global shocks are compounding the UK's low-growth story, according to CBI Chief Economist Louise Hellem, who stated, "We saw weak momentum throughout 2025, but if it weren't for the latest global shocks, we could be having a much more positive conversation about the economy today.
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Growth to slow and unemployment to jump to two million, says CBI

The Confederation of British Industry warned that around 200,000 more Britons were on track to become unemployed.

·London, United Kingdom
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Reuters broke the news in New York, United States on Monday, June 8, 2026.
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