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UK economy to grow 0.9% this year but outlook cut for 2027 – OECD

The OECD said renewed inflation and energy shock effects will squeeze real incomes and weigh on consumer spending and investment.

  • The Organisation of Economic Co-operation and Development upgraded the growth forecast for the economy this year, yet reduced the outlook for the coming years amid concerns regarding the war in Iran.
  • Conflict in the Middle East creates uncertainty, with economic consequences likely to be felt for some time even after the resolution, the OECD warned.
  • Growth is stronger than the 0.7% prediction from March, although the latest forecasts indicate a slowdown for the economy compared to the previous year.
  • Inflation is expected to rise this year and then slow down in 2026, as the report warns of pressures "squeezing real incomes" for households.
  • Chancellor of the Exchequer Rachel Reeves noted the situation poses significant economic challenges, while the Bank of England anticipates moving to a neutral policy stance in 2027.
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UK economy to grow 0.9% this year but outlook cut for 2027 – OECD

Forecasts predicted that global economic growth will slow to 2.8% this year, from 3.4% in 2025.

·London, United Kingdom
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The Independent broke the news in London, United Kingdom on Wednesday, June 3, 2026.
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