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UK economy tipped to stall as Iran war chokes growth

Economists say higher fuel costs and weak services could leave growth at zero or minus 0.1%, with official figures due Thursday.

Summary
The UK’s economy is expected to stall another month as the Iran war continues to choke growth and some industries face slowing output. Gross domestic product (GDP) is expected to have slipped again by 0.1 per cent in May, according to some economists.

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Evening StandardEvening Standard
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UK economy set to have stayed in slow lane after Iran war held back growth

Some economists are expecting GDP to have flatlined or declined in May, after slipping by 0.1% in April.

·London, United Kingdom
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The Independent broke the news in London, United Kingdom on Sunday, July 12, 2026.
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