Reform UK’s Popularity Surges in Neck-and-Neck Race with Plaid Cymru, Says ITV Wales’ Latest Poll

Reform UK’s popularity surges in neck-and-neck race with Plaid Cymru, says ITV Wales’ latest poll

Plaid Cymru lead narrowly in the polls for May Senedd Election

According to recent polls, there are indications that Plaid Cymru is just narrowly leading in Wales for the upcoming Senedd election with Labour falling even further behind and Reform hot on Plaid's heels, a new ITV Cymru Wales opinion poll has revealed. The Barn Cymru poll conducted by YouGov for ITV Cymru Wales and Cardiff University, has revealed that Labour's predicted vote share

Plaid Cymru and Reform UK neck and neck as Labour slumps to historic low in new Senedd poll

The survey, commissioned by ITV Cymru Wales and Cardiff University’s Welsh Governance Centre, projects a dramatic shift in Welsh politics ahead of the 2026 Senedd election. It suggests Plaid Cymru would secure 30% of the vote, with Reform UK close behind on 29%. Labour trails on just 14%, with the Conservatives on 11%, and the Liberal Democrats and Greens both on 6%. A Senedd without a majority If repeated at the ballot box, the poll would leave…

Plaid on top, Reform surge and Labour collapse - latest Senedd poll

Plaid Cymru remain in the top spot for polling ahead of next year’s Senedd elections, while Reform UK continue to surge and Labour haemorrhage voters.

Plaid Cymru takes lead as Labour support collapses in new Senedd poll

Reform UK close behind in two-horse race ahead of 2026 election PLAID CYMRU has pulled ahead in the latest Barn Cymru poll, leaving Labour languishing at its lowest ever projected Senedd vote share. The YouGov poll, carried out for ITV Cymru Wales and Cardiff University, puts Plaid on 30% and Reform UK just behind on 29%. Labour trails far behind on 14%, while the Conservatives are on 11%, the Liberal Democrats on 6%, the Greens on 6% and other …