Dow at 50,000; Trump Says 100,000 Is Next — Is That Realistic?
Trump credits tariffs for Dow surpassing 50,000, forecasting it will double to 100,000 by 2029 despite studies showing Americans bore 96% of tariff costs.
- President Donald Trump on Sunday, February 8, 2026, predicted the Dow would reach 100,000 by the end of his Term, writing, `Record Stock Market, and National Security, driven by our Great TARIFFS. I am predicting 100,000 on the DOW by the end of my Term.`
- Researchers counter that the tariffs largely hit U.S. households and firms, noting a Kiel Institute study found about 96% of tariff costs were borne by American consumers and businesses.
- The Dow closed above 50,000 on Feb. 6 at 50,115.67, with Goldman Sachs and Caterpillar accounting for 10,173 of those points, highlighting the index's milestone context.
- The U.S. Supreme Court is weighing legal limits on the tariffs, and Fed researchers Fernanda Nechio and Óscar Jordá found tariffs initially raise unemployment as inflation falls, with a Fed analysis suggesting tariffs may have cost thousands of American jobs monthly.
- Using recent decade returns, the Dow could reach six digits by February 2032 with an 11.95% compound annual growth rate, but late 2034 or early 2035 remain possible, and stock splits by Goldman Sachs or Caterpillar could alter this path.
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Here's When the Dow Jones Industrial Average Will Reach 100,000, Based on What History Has to Say
Key PointsThe Dow has taken down 32 1,000-point milestones -- from 19,000 to 50,000 -- over the trailing decade.The Dow Jones Industrial Average's annualized return suggests it could hit 100,000 sooner than investors think.However, one of the Dow's quirks may throw a monkey wrench into its accelerated ascent.10 stocks we like better than Dow Jones Industrial Average › Last week was a history-maker for the iconic Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI…
Trump predicts Dow Jones to hit 100K by 2029
He said in a social media post that the index will double in the next three years because of his tariffs.
Dow at 50,000; Trump Says 100,000 Is Next — Is That Realistic?
NEW YORK (VINnews) — The Dow Jones Industrial Average topped 50,000 on Friday, a milestone that President Donald Trump celebrated on social media, predicting the benchmark index could reach 100,000 by the end of his term in January 2029. The Dow crossing 50,000 marks a psychological milestone for investors, capping years of gains driven by […]
Trump predicting 100K on Dow by time he leaves office, claims he was 'right about everything'
President Donald Trump on Sunday said he was predicting the Dow Jones Industrial Average to reach 100,000 by the time he leaves the White House in January 2029.This comes after the Dow closed past 50,000 on Friday for the first time."Record Stock Market, and National Security, driven by our Great TARIFFS. I am predicting 100,000 on the DOW by the end of my Term," Trump wrote on Truth Social.US, INDIA REACH INTERIM TRADE DEAL LOWERING TARIFFS ON …
Trump credits record market, national security gains to
US President Donald Trump on Sunday (local time) claimed credit for the US stock market performance and gains in American national security--calling it driven by tariffs. He also predicted the Dow to touch a record 100,000 by the end of his term.
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