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Today’s tighter margins may encourage more farmer retirements or changes in strategy

Fewer new farms form as family succession and land renting lead to steady farm growth; strong 2025 yields supported cash flow despite tighter margins, says Manitoba Agriculture specialist.

  • Faced with thinner margins, many Canadian producers delay equipment upgrades and slow purchases while some near-retirement farmers rent out acres or avoid costly machinery, Darren Bond of Manitoba Agriculture said.
  • High land prices and rising interest rates have made buying land and machinery difficult, so expansion relies mainly on rented acres; Bond noted earlier equipment buying cycles left fleets newer, reducing replacement demand.
  • Most new farmers are sons or daughters joining established family operations, as knowledge gaps and limited land access hinder independent startups without family farm succession or mentoring.
  • Market indicators show the broader equipment market reflects reduced demand and a slow recovery, while an agriculture company’s profit forecast miss caused shares to fall over five per cent.
  • Farms are consolidating as established family farms transfer operations to neighbouring farms or the next generation, with strong 2025 crop yields briefly easing pressure but consolidation persisting, Bond said.
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Today’s tighter margins may encourage more farmer retirements or changes in strategy

John Deere’s weaker outlook for 2026 sent a clear signal recently across the agriculture industry. The company’s profit forecast fell short of expectations, and its shares dropped more than five per cent. The reaction showed that a full recovery in the farm economy remains slow and uneven. Many producers continue to operate with tight margins, and the broader equipment market reflects that pressure.

·London, Canada
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Owen Sound Sun Times broke the news in on Friday, January 23, 2026.
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