This Top Data Scientist’s (Non-AI) Model Finds Republicans Have Just One Chance in Six of Holding Senate

New from top data scientist's (non-AI) Senate model: Despite uptick in Maine and Alaska, Republicans stand just one chance in six of keeping control

I started following Thomas Miller’s political forecasts during the January 2021 Senate races in Georgia. Just a few days before the election, the polls and pundits anticipated a relatively easy win for both Republican candidates. But Miller—a prominent data scientist and professor at Northwestern University—posited a Democratic sweep, and he was right. He also called Trump’s victory in 2024. What’s different about Miller’s models? They’re far mo…

Republicans face steep odds in Senate control as election nears: Fortune

The declining odds for Republicans in the Senate race could shift legislative priorities and impact future policy-making dynamics.

Northwestern University professor Thomas Miller ‘Nowcast’ model sees a Democratic sweep in Senate

I started following Thomas Miller’s political forecasts during the January 2021 Senate races in Georgia. Just a few days before the election, the polls and pundits anticipated a relatively easy win for both Republican candidates. But Miller—a prominent data scientist and professor at Northwestern University—posited a Democratic sweep, and he was right. He also called […]

This top data scientist’s (non-AI) model finds Republicans have just one chance in six of holding Senate

I started following Thomas Miller’s political forecasts during the January 2021 Senate races in Georgia. Just a few days before the election, the polls and pundits anticipated a relatively easy win for both Republican candidates. But Miller—a prominent data scientist and professor at Northwestern…