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Two Republicans Are Fighting for California Governor. Why a Tie Is Their Best Strategy

Three Democrats are tied around 10% as mail voting nears, while Republicans Steve Hilton and Chad Bianco try to coordinate for a runoff spot.

  • California's June 2 primary features 61 candidates, but the Democratic race remains stalled with leading contenders Katie Porter, Eric Swalwell, and Tom Steyer each polling around 10%.
  • Democratic Party leaders worry that Republicans Steve Hilton and Chad Bianco could finish 1-2, securing both runoff spots; instead of teaming up to reach 20%, the two candidates are undermining their only chance to elect a GOP governor.
  • Billionaire Steyer is running a highly visible campaign with massive ad spending, while Swalwell benefits from California Teachers Association support but faces pressure from an FBI investigation regarding his past relationship with a supposed Chinese spy.
  • Politico reported on Wednesday that strategy differences caused a shakeup in San Jose Mayor Matt Mahan's campaign, despite his wealthy Silicon Valley backing failing to generate momentum.
  • Under the state's top-two primary system, the two highest vote-getters advance to November regardless of party; with mail voting set to begin in a month, candidates must reach around 20% to secure a runoff spot.
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Bias Distribution

  • 50% of the sources lean Left, 50% of the sources are Center
50% Center

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Cal Matters broke the news in Sacramento, United States on Friday, April 3, 2026.
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