US EditionThere’s a ‘ghost hurricane’ in the forecast. It could help predict a real one
- The Global Forecast System predicted a hurricane striking the Gulf Coast in the second half of June 2025, generating viral attention this week.
- The GFS model has a tendency to generate false alarms with tropical storm and hurricane predictions when forecasting beyond a week, particularly early in the hurricane season.
- Though the GFS showed a strong storm signal, forecasters emphasize that such 'ghost hurricanes' frequently appear in models but often do not materialize in reality.
- Alicia Bentley of NOAA emphasized that forecasters play a key role by recognizing a model's typical tendencies and applying that understanding to improve the accuracy of their predictions.
- This cycle of overprediction and adjustment highlights the value of ensemble models and expert analysis for improving forecast accuracy and informing public safety.
5 Articles
5 Articles
A terrifying weather forecast showing a hurricane would hit the Gulf Coast in the second half of June circulated on social media this week, but there's no need to panic.
By Mary Gilbert, CNN A terrifying weather forecast showing a hurricane would hit the Gulf Coast in the second half of June circulated on social media this week, but there's no need to panic. This is the first "ghost hurricane" of the season. A similar phenomenon occurs every hurricane season, especially early on: a carefully curated model that considers the worst-case scenario goes viral, but, in most cases, never materializes.
There’s a ‘ghost hurricane’ in the forecast. It could help predict a real one
A scary-looking weather forecast showing a hurricane hitting the Gulf Coast in the second half of June swirled around social media this week—but don’t panic. It’s this season’s first “ghost hurricane.”
A number of weather phenomena are repeated year after year, which can wreak havoc on society. From earthquakes, torrential rains, and of course hurricanes. Some actions can prevent the catastrophic damage that this 2025 season brings with it; however, a “phantom hurricane” would be the key to limiting the effects. But what is this “phantom hurricane” about? Next, we will explain all the details behind the little known tropical system. Continue r…
The hurricane season in the Atlantic has officially begun on June 1st. A weather forecast indicating a huge storm for the middle of the month makes many nervous.
Coverage Details
Bias Distribution
- 67% of the sources are Center
To view factuality data please Upgrade to Premium
Ownership
To view ownership data please Upgrade to Vantage
