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Economists Expect Federal Reserve to Hold Rates This Year

Most economists see no June cut as inflation runs at 3.8 percent and FOMC participants weigh possible rate increases later this year.

  • Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh will lead the Federal Open Market Committee meeting on June 16–17, where the central bank is expected to hold interest rates steady despite President Donald Trump's public pressure for cuts.
  • Persistent inflation, currently double the Fed's 2% target, and a resilient labor market provide little room for rate cuts, as economic activity remains steady despite five years of elevated price pressures.
  • Nearly 70% of economists polled forecast the Fed will maintain the current 3.50%–3.75% range for the rest of 2026, while bond markets have priced in at least one rate hike by year-end.
  • Fed officials are expected to drop the 'easing bias' from their policy statement this month, though Warsh has expressed openness to a future rate reduction if balance sheet conditions allow.
  • Fiscal concerns, including over 6% budget deficits and rising borrowing costs at 5% for 30-year debt, further complicate the monetary outlook as Trump continues pressuring Warsh to lower rates.
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22 Articles

ReutersReuters
+16 Reposted by 16 other sources
Center

Fed to hold rates this year, cut calls fade as war inflation persists, economists say: Reuters poll

·London, United Kingdom
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Kevin Warsh, Donald Trump's envoy, will not announce a rate cut at next week's meeting. The article "The Fed chairman changed, but not the expectations on interest rates" was first published on CryptoNews - Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Cryptocurrency News.

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Appointed by Donald Trump, Kevin Warsh faced inflation from his first open federal market committee (FOMC) doped by the Middle East war and markets that no longer believed in lower rates in 2026. The Fed seems ready to maintain the fed funds at 3.50%-3.75 per cent despite political pressure.

·Paris, France
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Bias Distribution

  • 88% of the sources are Center
88% Center

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Hospodárske Noviny broke the news in Bratislava, Slovakia on Tuesday, June 9, 2026.
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