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The Ecb Has Already Done Its Job Unless There Is a Sharp Deterioration in Growth by 2026 or Substantial Pressure on Inflation Below Its 2% Target.
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Consensus of the Market Rents 4 Flat opening (future Eurostoxx +0.2%, S&P 500 0%) after a session yesterday in which Wall Street again made maximums. Although the inflation data was very in line with the estimates, a very negative weekly unemployment data (263,000 vs 236,000 previous), the worst since October 2021, caused an increase of expectations of cuts of rates up to 3 in 2025, and the consequent fall in TIREs (T-bond -2 pb to 4%) and [...]
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