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Tariff costs to companies this year to hit $1.2 trillion, with consumers taking most of the hit, S&P says

S&P Global analysis shows over $800 billion of the $1.2 trillion tariff cost will be passed to consumers, with companies bearing only one-third of the burden.

  • S&P Global's white paper Thursday estimated President Donald Trump's tariffs will cost global businesses $1.2 trillion, with most costs passed to consumers.
  • Earlier this year, the administration imposed a 10% tariff on all goods and removed the de minimis exception for goods under $800, adding duties on kitchen cabinets, autos and timber.
  • S&P's data show a $907 billion hit to covered companies and a 64 basis point contraction in profit margins this year.
  • Companies are responding by shifting and diversifying supply chains, including onshoring production to the United States, while UPS faces a customs backlog and retailers brace for 100 percent tariffs on Chinese goods starting November 1.
  • Sandberg wrote that `With real output declining, consumers are paying more for less, suggesting that this two-thirds share represents a lower bound on their true burden`, while White House spokesman Kush Desai insisted exporters would ultimately bear the costs, which S&P says is only partly true.
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Axios broke the news in Washington, United States on Thursday, October 16, 2025.
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