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Here's Why Bitcoin (BTC) May Crash Below $100K

Standard Chartered forecasts a brief dip below $100,000 for Bitcoin while traders see a 66% chance of this drop before a potential recovery later this year.

  • On Wednesday, Geoff Kendrick of Standard Chartered said a drop below $100,000 is inevitable as bitcoin hovers around $100,000 after a 14% fall from October 6.
  • Kendrick pointed to shifting flows between gold and bitcoin, noting gold recently outperformed bitcoin and a sharp gold selloff matched a strong bitcoin intra-day bounce.
  • Market-Derived probabilities show Robinhood traders price a 66% chance bitcoin falls below $100,000 this year and a 33% chance of a drop under $90,000, while funding rates turn negative and open interest rises.
  • Analysts recommended staying nimble and ready to buy any dip below $100,000, warning traders to think twice before opening leveraged shorts because reversals can be swift.
  • Next week's Federal Reserve meeting could shift sentiment by cutting rates, with catalysts including a US government reopening or eased US-China trade war; Kendrick projects $200K year-end 2025 and $500K end 2028.
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Since its recent historic summit at $126,000, Bitcoin has been entering a consolidation phase around $110,000. A position deemed unstable by Standard Chartered analysts who are considering an "inevitable fall" to the $100,000. We're taking stock. The article Towards an "inevitable fall" of Bitcoin at $100,000? That's the opinion of these analysts has appeared first on Cryptoast.

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Bitcoin Magazine broke the news in on Wednesday, October 22, 2025.
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