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Pakistan Cenbank Holds Key Policy Rate at 11.5%

The central bank said inflation is likely to stay in double digits for several months before easing toward its 5% to 7% target range.

  • On Monday, the State Bank of Pakistan's Monetary Policy Committee held the benchmark policy rate at 11.5%, aligning with expectations from 22 of 39 analysts surveyed by Bloomberg.
  • Following a deal between the United States and Iran to end their conflict, global oil prices eased, supporting the central bank's pause on tightening despite headline inflation reaching 11.7% in May.
  • The Pakistan Bureau of Statistics provisionally estimated GDP growth at 3.7% for FY26, while successful International Monetary Fund reviews for the Extended Fund Facility and Resilience and Sustainability Facility increased foreign exchange reserves to $17.2 billion as of June 5.
  • Officials assessed the current monetary policy stance remains appropriate to guide inflation toward a 5% to 7% medium-term target, noting economic activity shows moderation amid elevated prices and austerity measures.
  • Risks including geopolitical developments, uncertain food prices, and adverse weather could cloud Pakistan's growth outlook for FY27, with inflation expected to remain in double digits before gradually easing.
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Geo News broke the news on Monday, June 15, 2026.
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