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ECB Succession Talk Puts Knot and De Cos in Frame for Top Job

Lagarde aims to exit before 2027 French election allowing Macron and Merz to influence ECB succession; frontrunners Knot and Hern�ndez de Cos emerge amid political and market reactions.

  • Amid France's 2027 election, the FT reported Christine Lagarde plans to leave the ECB early, enabling Macron and Merz to influence her succession; ECB denies.
  • Last week, the Financial Times reported that France's President Macron is 'bulletproofing' key posts ahead of the 2027 election, following Villeroy de Galhau's surprise resignation.
  • Klaas Knot, former Dutch central bank governor, and Pablo Hernández de Cos, former Bank of Spain governor and BIS appointee, are seen as front-runners; Knot has shifted from hawk to consensus‑builder and de Cos recently joined the BIS.
  • Markets priced just over 10 basis points of easing while the ECB denied the report, stating Lagarde remains 'totally focused on her mission,' and Rabobank said an early exit could protect the euro.
  • Three Executive Board vacancies next year raise the prospect of a linked package as economists say an early Lagarde exit boosts chances leaders negotiate filling seats of Philip Lane and Isabel Schnabel.
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El Debate broke the news in on Wednesday, February 18, 2026.
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