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"He Has a Run!" Are There Really Lucky Streaks in Sports?

Summary
For a long time, the belief in lucky streaks in sports was considered a mistake of thought. However, recent analyses show: The hot-hand effect is small, but under certain circumstances it can be measured in real terms"He has a run!" – hardly a sports commentator who had not already called this sentence into the microphone.If a basketball player hits three threes in a row, serves one tennis player an ace after another or suddenly dominates all the intermediates, a magical moment seems to set itself: as if someone had flipped a switch.The idea is as popular as it is deceptive – say many statistic experts. Because success, according to their argument, does not occur in series, but often follows the random principle.
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geogeo

"He Has a Run!" Are There Really Lucky Streaks in Sports?

For a long time, the belief in lucky streaks in sports was considered a mistake of thought. However, recent analyses show: The hot-hand effect is small, but under certain circumstances it can be measured in real terms"He has a run!" – hardly a sports commentator who had not already called this sentence into the microphone.If a basketball player hits three threes in a row, serves one tennis player an ace after another or suddenly dominates all th…

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geo broke the news in on Wednesday, August 6, 2025.
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