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Sweden Election Race Tightens as Liberals Make Parliament Threshold, Poll Shows

Novus found the Liberals at 4.3%, easing fears the party could lose its 16 seats as the ruling bloc narrows the opposition's lead.

  • A new poll from Novus published by TV4 shows Sweden's ruling right-wing bloc narrowing the gap on the centre-left opposition, with the government and Sweden Democrats at 47.9% compared to 50.3% for their rivals.
  • Three weeks ago, the centre-left opposition led by Social Democrats leader Magdalena Andersson held a 10 percentage point lead, which political scientists described as a near-insurmountable gap to bridge before election day.
  • Junior coalition party the Liberals rose to 4.3% from 3.3% in the survey of 2,888 voters, officially clearing the 4% threshold needed to win seats in the Swedish parliament for the first time since 2022.
  • Clearing the 4% threshold eases fears that the party could lose its 16 seats in parliament, preserving the majority for the government led by Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson.
  • With less than a week remaining until Sunday's general election, the margin between the two blocs has narrowed by 0.2 percentage points, reflecting a tightening race heading into the final days.
Insights by Ground AI

26 Articles

Lean Right

The Liberals are approaching the parliamentary barrier in the DN/Ipso penultimate poll before the election. At the same time, the Social Democrats continue to lose support. Yet the opposition parties are still in a clear lead with six days left.

·Stockholm, Sweden
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Far Right

Has over 4 percent – for the first time since 2022. Mohamsson: "I feel a tailwind."

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Bias Distribution

  • 66% of the sources lean Right
66% Right

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Göteborgs-Posten broke the news in Gothenburg, Sweden on Monday, September 7, 2026.
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