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U.S. markets rally amid report showing economic slowdown

  • The U.S. Economy contracted by 0.3% annualized in the first quarter of 2025, marking the first quarterly shrinkage since early 2022.
  • The contraction followed a strong 2.4% growth in the prior quarter, driven partly by import activity pulled forward ahead of tariffs, creating unusual trade dynamics.
  • Weak private payroll growth—62,000 jobs added in April, below projections—and falling stock futures signaled investor concerns amid fading growth and persistent inflation.
  • Recession odds for 2025 rose to 74% according to Kalshi betting data, while experts noted possible stagflation risks with slowing growth and elevated inflation.
  • Market responses were mixed as major indices dipped then rebounded, with analysts expecting GDP growth to return in Q2 but warning that economic uncertainty remains elevated.
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Portfolio.hu broke the news in on Wednesday, April 30, 2025.
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