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Public finances in 'relatively vulnerable position', OBR warns

UNITED KINGDOM, JUL 8 – The Office for Budget Responsibility warns that UK debt could exceed 270% of GDP by the 2070s, with 3.5 million taxpayers moving into higher tax brackets by 2028-29.

  • The Office for Budget Responsibility released its report today, warning of 'daunting' near-term fiscal risks and a substantial erosion of the UK’s capacity to respond to shocks.
  • Recent policy reversals, including reinstating winter fuel payments and abandoning benefit cuts, have increased UK debt and left public finances more vulnerable, the OBR warns.
  • Data shows tax thresholds will bring 4.2m into income tax and pull 3.5m into higher-rate band; UK debt stands at 96.4% of GDP, projected above 270% by early 2070s.
  • The OBR warns that by 2028-29, 3.5 million more taxpayers will enter the 40% higher-rate band, while savers’ allowances halve and pension costs exceed £15.5 billion annually.
  • The OBR warns long-term pressures from aging, climate change, and increased defence spending will strain UK public finances, with debt projected above 270% of GDP by the 2070s.
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Public finances on ‘unsustainable’ path due to spending promises, says OBR

Richard Hughes told a briefing in Liverpool that the projected rise in state pension spending would contributed to growing UK national debt.

·Brighton, United Kingdom
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Nation.Cymru broke the news in Wales, United Kingdom on Tuesday, July 8, 2025.
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