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AP Decision Notes: What to Expect in California's Special Election

Proposition 50 aims to change California redistricting rules to reduce Republican gerrymandering bias that gave GOP an estimated 16-seat advantage in the 2024 House election.

  • On Tuesday, California voters head to the polls with one ballot question, as Proposition 50 would implement a new congressional map passed by the state legislature in August for three election cycles.
  • Nationwide, politicians are reshaping districts to benefit their parties next year, with the Brennan Center for Justice estimating a Republican advantage of around 16 House seats in 2024.
  • Funding-Wise, this fight has attracted more than $200 million, with the Yes side raising around $138 million, including contributions from Gavin Newsom and the House Majority PAC, while opponents report over $80 million, with $5 million from Congressional Leadership Fund.
  • The ballot outcome may help decide control of the U.S. House after the 2026 midterms, with Prop 50 potentially flipping five seats and raising Democrats to 48 of California's 52 congressional seats.
  • California Republicans have sued to keep Proposition 50 off the ballot, opposing efforts to strip power from the California Citizens Redistricting Commission while opponents frame the initiative as a Democratic scheme and Democratic reform advocates push federal legislation for national redistricting standards but struggle beyond California.
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AP Decision Notes: What to expect in California's special election

California voters head to the polls on Tuesday with just one yes-or-no question on the ballot. Passing Proposition 50 would implement a new congressional map, which passed the state legislature in August, for the next three election cycles.

·United States
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hometownstation.com broke the news in on Wednesday, October 22, 2025.
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