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Prediction markets say they're different from sportsbooks. Gambling addicts say it's all the same

Two self-excluded gamblers say prediction markets triggered relapses as regulators and courts debate whether the platforms fall under federal oversight.

  • Two gambling addicts told The Associated Press they relapsed on Kalshi and Polymarket after self-excluding from sportsbooks, exposing a significant gap in protection programs for vulnerable users.
  • Prediction and sportsbooks offer similar wagering options on games and individual performances, creating a familiar cycle of anticipation and action that users struggle to resist once inside.
  • Dr. Cynthia Grant, vice president of clinical for Birches Health, said the addiction cycle remains identical regardless of platform: "different doors into the same room" where the experience feels familiar.
  • The Commodity Futures Trading Commission asserts exclusive jurisdiction over prediction markets, with CFTC chairman Michael Selig backing platforms in legal proceedings against states attempting to regulate them.
  • With the sports-focused market projected to reach approximately $1.1 trillion annually, Kalshi is collaborating on national self-exclusion programs, though overlap with state-regulated systems remains unclear.
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Prediction markets say they're different from sportsbooks. Gambling addicts say it's all the same

Clinicians who treat gambling disorders are concerned about their patients turning to prediction markets.

·United States
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WKMG broke the news in Orlando, United States on Wednesday, April 29, 2026.
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