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Prediction Markets Put Just 11% Odds on Bitcoin Reaching $150,000 by Year-End -- Is That Too Bearish?

Polymarket's 11% probability reflects ongoing price decline, reduced ETF assets, and mixed institutional and regulatory signals amid Bitcoin's 40% drop from October highs.

Summary by The Motley Fool
Key PointsThere's no obvious near-term catalyst on the horizon to end Bitcoin's downward grind.Institutional Bitcoin holdings have held relatively steady.Bitcoin has always erased its losses in the past, and is likely to do so again, but it may take time. 10 stocks we like better than Bitcoin › Cryptocurrency prices surged last year, as a wave of optimism pushed Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) to new highs. Volatility subsided. There were huge strides in …

3 Articles

In a shocking turn of the cryptomarket, gamblers see almost identical odds for Bitcoin to explode at $150,000 or collapse at $25,000. Imminent catalyst or prolonged decline? The future of BTC hangs on a volatile thread. *** Predictive market gamblers sense that 2026 will be a bass year for Bitcoin. With BTC falling more than 45% from their historical peak, they see little chance of a new cap soon. At Polymarket, they allocate 11% chance to a ral…

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The Motley Fool broke the news in Alexandria, United States on Friday, March 6, 2026.
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