Polymarket’s House Market Turnover Is 2.2 Times Senate’s on Election Day
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Polymarket raised the implicit probability of a Democratic sweep to 100% on November 3, the day of the US mid-term elections, and media projections confirmed that the Democrats won both houses of Congress that night. The result could further narrow the path of the CLARITY Act, the proposed crypt market structure law.
The Democrats have a significant lead in their victory in both legislative bodies of the US Congress, according to estimates from Polymarket, the largest decentralized prediction market platform in the world. More...
Polymarket's prediction markets are giving Democrats a significant 74% lead in controlling both the Senate and the House of Representatives, as voting for the US midterm elections is underway. According to the platform's data, the chances of victory are 76% for the Senate and 95% for the House of Representatives, forming new correlations that would significantly limit Donald Trump's political room for maneuver.
Polymarket’s House Market Turnover Is 2.2 Times Senate’s on Election Day
Washington, November 3, 2026, 14:01 (EST) Polymarket’s House-control market recorded $45.7 million in cumulative trading on U.S. Election Day, more than double the Senate market’s turnover. Displayed Democratic buy-Yes quotes stood at 95 cents for the House and 75 cents for the Senate. Voting was still underway. The comparison distinguishes trading activity from the uncertainty…
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