Polymarket retains lead over Kalshi in political and election trading volume

Polymarket Political Volume Jumps 34% as Midterms Strengthen Lead Over Kalshi

TL;DR Polymarket’s political prediction markets generated $396 million in weekly volume during the first week of November, rising 34.2% week over week amid U.S. midterm activity overall. Political contracts represented about 12% of Polymarket volume, while Kalshi’s political markets accounted for roughly 1.5% of its activity as sports remained dominant. Polymarket retained a 300% to 900% lead over Kalshi across political categories, while open …

Kalshi leads Polymarket as US prediction markets surge 4x

Prediction markets traded more in October than in any month before, and most of that volume went through Kalshi. US search demand followed, ending a lead Polymarket had held since May 2024. Kalshi held 51.8% of BAP (brand accumulated power, a brand’s share of search demand among tracked prediction market brands) in the United States […]

Polymarket still dominates PolitiFi trading activity

Polymarket is still the main venue for political predictions, surpassing even Kalshi in this niche. In the past week, the US midterm elections expanded Polymarket’s trading volumes on political bets.  Polymarket still benefits from political predictions as one of its significant sources of liquidity. In the first week of November, political prediction markets reached $396M in trading volumes, up by 34.2% from the previous week.  Political predic…

Polymarket retains lead over Kalshi in political and election trading volume

Polymarket is still the main venue for political predictions, surpassing even Kalshi in this niche. In the past week, the US midterm elections expanded Polymarket’s trading volumes on political bets.  Polymarket still benefits from political predictions as one of its significant sources of liquidity. In the first week of November, political prediction markets reached $396M in trading volumes, up by 34.2% from the previous week.  Political predic…

How Big Are Prediction Markets? Kalshi vs. Polymarket, Market Makers and the Capital Gap EDGE Markets Targets

September’s record volume and a wave of institutional liquidity providers point to the same problem: moving capital across a fast-splintering map of venues. In the last week of September, U.S.-facing prediction markets traded $20.4 billion in notional volume. It was the first week the category had ever cleared $20 billion. Kalshi alone logged its first […]