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PoderData Poll Has Flávio 51%, Lula 49%

PoderData said the race is a technical tie, with 4,000 voters surveyed and the latest poll still inside the 1.6-point margin of error.

Summary by The Rio Times
A new PoderData/Aya poll puts Flávio Bolsonaro at 51% and Lula at 49% of valid votes, a technical tie three days before Brazil's 25 October runoff.

80 Articles

Center

The outgoing Brazilian president and candidate for re-election, Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, of the Workers' Party (Pt, left), and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro, of the Liberal Party (Pl, right), have paired 50% of the voting intentions in vi... (ANSA)

·Rome, Italy
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Lean Right

Most of the polls had not anticipated the victory of Flávio Bolsonaro in the first round, since they gave Lula the winner with a short lead.

·Paris, France
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Lean Right

The senator and the president starred in the first round – held on October 4th – most contested since the re-democratization of Brazil, with 47.03% and 45.16%, respectively.

·Las Condes, Chile
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Lean Left

In a final straight line full of suspense three days after the Brazilian presidential elections, Flávio Bolsonaro's advantage over the same president Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, narrows more and more and everything points to a technical tie next Sunday.Continue reading...

·Barcelona, Spain
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Hola NewsHola News
+3 Reposted by 3 other sources
Center

São Paulo, Oct 22 (EFE).- Opposition candidate Flávio Bolsonaro and Brazilian president Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva tie with 50% of the valid votes in a poll conducted by the demoscopic company Datafol has released this Thursday, three days after the second round of the elections. This is the first poll [...] The entry Lula and Bolsonaro tie 50% of the votes in a poll three days after the elections was first published in HolaNews.

Lean Right

This discussion has dominated the final straight of the electoral race.

·Guayaquil, Ecuador
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  • 46% of the sources lean Right
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Globo broke the news in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil on Wednesday, October 21, 2026.
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