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Paxton, Talarico locked in dead heat for Texas Senate: Poll

Recent polls show Paxton at 47% and Talarico at 46%, with multiple surveys falling within each poll’s margin of error.

  • An Emerson College Polling/Nexstar Media survey released Thursday shows the Texas U.S. Senate race in a dead heat, with Republican Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton at 47% and Democrat James Talarico at 46%.
  • Paxton bolstered his campaign by securing endorsements from 18 House Republicans and President Donald Trump, unifying party support after his May primary runoff victory.
  • Talarico received backing from Common Defense, a veteran-led grassroots organization, while Dan Cogdell, a Houston-based attorney who previously represented Paxton, endorsed the Democrat.
  • Sen. John Cornyn continues to criticize Paxton and has not publicly endorsed the Republican nominee for his U.S. Senate seat, exposing internal party fractures.
  • With early voting beginning Oct. 19, both campaigns mobilize voters as the race remains statistically tied, though recent polls show varying results within margins of error.
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  • 47% of the sources are Center
47% Center

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The Hill broke the news in Washington, United States on Thursday, August 13, 2026.
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