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OPEC+ delays oil capacity review after Iran war disrupts expansion plans: Reuters
The delay leaves future quotas uncertain as some members have not submitted required data and disrupted expansion projects cloud production estimates.
The OPEC review to determine 2027 output quotas has been delayed until mid-November, sources said today. The US-Israeli war on Iran disrupted Middle East projects, throwing future production potential into uncertainty.
OPEC relies on this foundational data to negotiate output targets, as the review provides an independent assessment of sustainable production capacity for each member. Capacity estimates directly influence how much individual members are allowed to pump.
Not all Countries have submitted the required data, creating an incomplete picture for the assessment process. The conflict has delayed projects intended to boost production capacity, complicating estimates of how much oil members can pump.
Capacity estimates directly influence individual member quotas. Countries with lower assessed capacity could face pressure for lower quotas, while producers that expanded capacity might seek higher allocations.
The alliance faces a volatile environment, as The United Arab Emirates left in May after quota disputes, and Iraq has also considered exiting. These departures underscore the difficulty of maintaining consensus on output limits.
<p>The war with Iran disrupted OPEC+ oil plans — revision of future quotas was postponed by OPEC+ postponed the assessment of the country's production capacities from September to November 2026 due to war-torn projects. Results
set quotas for the year 2027.</p>