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Is Canada in a recession? The data says we’re teetering on the brink.

  • Canada's real GDP growth declined from 0.65% to 0.4% in the first quarter of 2025, signaling economic slowdown.
  • This dip followed a previous quarter of growth, and the slump has not lasted long enough to officially classify as a recession.
  • Consumer spending shows mixed signals with declines in discretionary categories, stable retail sales, rising debt levels in late 2024, and improving insolvency data by March 2025.
  • The average unemployment rate for Q1 2025 was 6.6%, above the 12-month low but still below recession thresholds, while housing sales and construction declined notably in early 2025.
  • Despite gains in certain industries, recent quarters of negative GDP growth combined with declining housing market activity make the potential onset of a recession in Canada hard to overlook.
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Bias Distribution

  • 91% of the sources are Center
91% Center
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The Epoch Times broke the news in New York, United States on Friday, May 9, 2025.
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