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Oil-price bets ahead of Iran war news totalled $7 billion, reporting shows

Reuters analysis found traders placed short bets worth as much as $7 billion minutes before Iran-related announcements, and oil prices fell more than 10% on key dates.

  • A series of well-timed bets totaling as much as $7 billion on falling oil prices occurred across multiple exchanges before major announcements by President Trump regarding Iran.
  • The bets included short positions on ICE, CME crude, diesel and gasoline futures, executed minutes before Trump's announcements that caused oil prices to fall.
  • The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission is investigating the trades, though the traders' identities and origins are unknown.
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Oil-price bets ahead of Iran war news totalled $7 billion, reporting shows

A series of well-timed market bets on falling oil prices totaling as much as $7 billion during March and April spread across multiple exchanges and types of fuel and derivatives just before major Iranian policy announcements by Trump, according to traders, market experts and Reuters analysis of exchange data.

·United Kingdom
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  • 45% of the sources are Center, 44% of the sources lean Right
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Reuters broke the news in United Kingdom on Thursday, May 7, 2026.
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