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OECD Raises Global Growth Forecast to 3.2 Percent Despite Trump Tariffs

The OECD attributes the 3.2% global growth forecast for 2025 to AI investments and supportive policies while warning of risks from trade tensions and fiscal vulnerabilities.

  • On Tuesday, the Paris-based Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development raised its global growth forecast to 3.2% for 2025, citing the global economy's resilience.
  • Policy and market drivers including AI investment, fiscal support and expected Federal Reserve rate cuts ease the drag from US tariff hikes, reduced immigration and federal job cuts.
  • The US economy is now forecast to grow 2% in 2025, China to hold steady at 5%, and the eurozone's growth forecast rose to 1.3%.
  • The OECD warned that higher tariffs will raise prices, reducing household consumption and business investment, while investor optimism about AI could trigger a market correction and fiscal risks may push long-term sovereign yields higher.
  • Global growth is expected to slow to 2.9% in 2026 before rebounding to 3.1% in 2027, while global trade growth moderates from 4.2% to 2.3% and major central banks likely ease borrowing costs over the coming year.
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83 Articles

The Globe & MailThe Globe & Mail
+3 Reposted by 3 other sources
Center

Global growth resilient, but could be tested next year, OECD says

World economy vulnerable to rising tariff costs and investor optimism for AI, organization warns

·Canada
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ABC FOX MontanaABC FOX Montana
+29 Reposted by 29 other sources
Center

OECD raises US, eurozone growth targets as world economy 'resilient'

The world economy has been "surprisingly resilient" in the face of adversity this year, the OECD said Tuesday, raising its growth estimates for key economies, notably the US and the eurozone.

·Missoula, United States
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KVUE broke the news in Austin, United States on Monday, December 1, 2025.
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