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NY Fed survey: January near-term expected inflation lower amid better job market views

  • Americans expect inflation over the next year to be 3.1 percent, down from 3.4 percent in December, as reported by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
  • Inflation expectations for three-year and five-year horizons remain steady at 3.0 percent, indicating a belief that price pressures will persist, according to the New York Fed's survey.
  • The mean probability of losing a job in the next 12 months decreased to 14.8 percent, while the likelihood of finding a job rose to 45.6 percent, illustrating modest labor market improvements.
  • The University of Michigan reported a decrease in year-ahead inflation expectations from 4.0 percent to 3.5 percent, marking the lowest level since January 2025.
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Expectations for the next three years remained stable, as did expectations for the five-year horizon, according to a survey by the New York branch of the US Federal Reserve.

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Zero Hedge broke the news in United States on Monday, February 9, 2026.
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