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New poll projects dramatic transformation of Wales’ political map

Summary by Nation.Cymru
Mark Mansfield Wales could be heading towards an extraordinary new political landscape in which Plaid Cymru and Reform UK dominate its representation at Westminster while Labour is reduced to just two MPs, a major new poll suggests. YouGov’s first constituency-by-constituency Multilevel Regression and Post-stratification (MRP) model since Andy Burnham became Prime Minister gives Plaid a […]
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The biggest YouGov opinion poll since the general election in 2024 predicts that Plaid Cymru would win almost half of Wales' seats in Westminster if an election were held tomorrow. The MRP survey expects that Plaid Cymru would win fifteen seats in Wales: eleven more than in any previous general election, and in constituencies outside the Welsh-speaking region for the first time.

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Nation.Cymru broke the news in Wales, United Kingdom on Thursday, September 24, 2026.
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