Centaur: AI that Thinks Like Us—and Could Help Explain How We Think
- Scientists at Helmholtz Munich introduced Centaur, an AI model designed to simulate human decision-making, in a study featured in Nature in early July 2025.
- The team created Centaur by fine-tuning Meta's Llama 3.1 70B on Psych-101, a dataset of 160 experiments with over 60,000 participants.
- Centaur outperformed specialized cognitive models in almost every experiment and accurately predicted behavior even when tasks or domains changed.
- Lead author Marcel Binz explained that they have developed a method capable of forecasting human actions across a wide range of scenarios communicated through everyday language.
- This tool could deepen understanding of cognition and revolutionize psychology, though responsible use is essential due to privacy and ethical concerns.
12 Articles
12 Articles
New ‘Mind-Reading’ AI Predicts What Humans Will Do Next, And It’s Shockingly Accurate
Researchers have developed an AI called Centaur that accurately predicts human behavior across virtually any psychological experiment. The post New ‘Mind-Reading’ AI Predicts What Humans Will Do Next, And It’s Shockingly Accurate appeared first on Study Finds.
Can artificial intelligence calculate how people behave? In a study, the newly developed AI model Centaur came to the right conclusion in more than 60 percent of cases. Is this possible in real life?

The model should be potentially useful for the development and review of theories in psychology
A foundation model to predict and capture human cognition
Establishing a unified theory of cognition has been an important goal in psychology1,2. A first step towards such a theory is to create a computational model that can predict human behaviour in a wide range of settings. Here we introduce Centaur, a computational model that can predict and simulate human behaviour in any experiment expressible in natural language. We derived Centaur by fine-tuning a state-of-the-art language model on a large-scal…
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