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Morgan Stanley Sees Fuel Tightness Persisting Through Mid-2027

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Morgan Stanley is likely to remain scarce until mid-2027, even if the current unrest associated with Iran's war is reduced, with an unusually large increase in refinery maintenance from global supplies, according to Morgan Stanley. Planned stops in the world's refineries until the second quarter of next year tend to rise by 3.4 [...] a projection that fuel will continue around the world until mid-2027 written in the Stock Exchange.

Morgan Stanley has predicted that despite a decrease in war-related supply disruptions, the global oil market could face supply crunch until mid-2027. The bank...

Even if war-related disruptions to the fuel market ease, supply shortages may persist. Morgan Stanley predicts that with postponed refinery maintenance coming into effect, petroleum product supply could remain limited until mid-2027. With planned shutdowns expected to reach two and a half times the normal rate, declining exports of fuels like diesel are causing prices to rise more sharply than crude oil.

Morgan Stanley predicted that even if current war-related supply disruptions ease, the tightness in the global oil market could persist until mid-2027.

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BizToc broke the news on Wednesday, October 21, 2026.
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