Midterms Have Been Kind to the S&P 500. SocGen Says Don’t Get Cozy (SP500:)
- Wall Street investors are hedging against potential volatility ahead of the midterm election, fearing a Democratic sweep of the House and Senate could jeopardize the four-year bull market.
- Historically, stocks have advanced 8.3 per cent and 4.9 per cent under split Congresses controlled by Republicans and Democrats, respectively, since 1950, according to Carson Investment Research data.
- President Donald Trump could veto restrictive AI legislation, limiting impact on bellwethers like Microsoft and Nvidia; Democrats may still pressure the industry via investigations and hearings.
- A Democratic victory might benefit the healthcare sector by reversing Medicaid cuts, while Defence contractors face scrutiny over military spending amid gridlock limiting broader policy changes.
- An analysis by Wells Fargo found the Index has risen in the 12 months following every midterm election in the post-World War era, regardless of outcome.
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36 Articles
US stocks have historically tended to rise after US congressional elections. In all 19 cycles since 1950, the S&P 500 index has been higher six months later, with an average return of 13 percent. Analysts say markets may benefit from the fact that some of the question marks surrounding the future of the US after Tuesday's vote will disappear. However, investors remain uneasy about President Donald Trump's unpredictable actions and the risk of fu…
Donald Trump could lose – without even running. And political power could shift from the Republicans to the Democrats. Here are seven things to keep an eye on ahead of the US midterm elections on Tuesday, November 3.
US Midterms Could Put the 2028 Presidential Race on Investors’ Radar
The upcoming US midterm elections could reshape financial markets well beyond their immediate impact on Congress, as investors begin assessing the political outlook for the 2028 presidential race and the future of President Donald Trump’s economic and foreign policies. If Democrats win control of both chambers of Congress, Washington could face legislative gridlock during the […]
The U.S. interim elections could reorganise the power relations in Congress – and decide on winners and losers of individual industries. An overview.
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