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JP Morgan, Goldman Diverge on Hormuz Oil Flow Estimates

  • Middle East crude oil exports reached 13 million barrels per day in September, the highest level since February, as United States and allied efforts to circumvent Iran's control over the Strait show success.
  • The U.S. Navy and regional allies have "become better at fending off or evading" attacks, allowing more tankers to transit the Strait, according to a Wall Street Journal analysis published Tuesday.
  • Saudi Arabia increased exports to around 5.4 million barrels a day in September, while total regional shipments reached nearly 80% of prewar levels last week, according to research firm Kpler.
  • Despite rising exports, The Wall Street Journal warned Iran's loss of de facto control over the Strait could increase the risk of military escalation as the country faces potential fuel shortages.
  • President Donald Trump rejected an Iranian proposal on Saturday to reopen the Strait, while indirect mediation talks involving Qatar and Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi continued without a breakthrough on Monday.
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(Seoul = Yonhap News) Reporter Lee Ji-heon = Crude oil exports from the Middle East have recently nearly recovered to normal levels prior to the outbreak of the U.S.-Iran war, CNN reported...

·Seoul, Korea (the Republic of)
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arabtimesonline.com broke the news on Tuesday, September 29, 2026.
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