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Global Airlines Slash 2026 Profit Forecast on Fuel Shock From Iran War

IATA said the industry’s fuel bill will rise to $350 billion in 2026, while profit per passenger is expected to fall to about $4.50.

  • On Sunday, Jun 7, The International Air Transport Association halved its 2026 profit forecast to $23 billion, citing Middle East conflict that disrupted key air corridors and drove up fuel costs.
  • IATA Director General Willie Walsh attributed the downgrade to surging jet fuel prices, expected to reach $350 billion in 2026, and severe operational disruptions across the Gulf region.
  • Gulf carriers Emirates, Qatar Airways, and Etihad Airways face significant operational uncertainty, while Spirit Airlines shut down last month as the first casualty of the Iran war.
  • Profitability per passenger has eroded to about $4.50, roughly half last year's level, while Walsh warned that fares will likely remain elevated as airlines cut unprofitable routes.
  • Delivery delays at Boeing and Airbus are forcing airlines to retain older, less efficient aircraft, though IATA still projects industry revenues to rise to around $1.16 trillion this year.
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Global airlines slash 2026 profit forecast on fuel shock from Iran war

·New York, United States
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Business Times broke the news in Singapore, Singapore on Sunday, June 7, 2026.
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