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Singapore tightens monetary policy in surprise move as rising oil prices rekindle inflation risk

MAS said imported inflation risks remain elevated as Brent crude has risen more than 50% this year, even as June core inflation stayed at 1.6%.

  • On Monday, July 27, 2026, the Monetary Authority of Singapore unexpectedly tightened monetary policy by increasing the appreciation rate of the Singapore dollar's trade-weighted value, contrary to analyst expectations.
  • Global energy markets remain volatile due to the ongoing US-Iran conflict, which has kept oil prices elevated and necessitated this response to rising inflation risks.
  • Instead of setting interest rates, MAS manages price stability by adjusting the Singapore dollar's exchange rate against a trade-weighted basket of currencies within an undisclosed policy band.
  • Singapore's economy grew by 5.7 per cent in the second quarter, supported by AI-related capital expenditure and strong credit growth, though macroeconomic uncertainty persists.
  • Oxford Economics senior economist Sheana Yue noted the tightening focuses on medium-term inflation risks, as imported costs and higher fuel prices will likely keep inflation elevated in the months ahead.
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Meanwhile, the Monetary Policy Group recommended that the Central Bank maintain the interest rate at 4.5%.

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Prensa Libre broke the news on Monday, July 27, 2026.
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