Myriad Markets Predicts Easy Election Win for Mark Carney in Canada
8 Articles
8 Articles
Myriad Markets Predicts Easy Election Win for Mark Carney in Canada
In early January, after Prime Minister Justin Trudeau announced he was stepping down, all polls pointed to political upheaval in Canada should an election be called.Now, it looks to be an unprecedented fourth term for the Liberal Party, led by former Bank of Canada and Bank of England governor Mark Carney, with a contract on Myriad Markets, a new prediction market, giving Carney a 74% chance of taking office.Back in January, a poll tracker from …
Key Segment Changes and Voters’ Reasoning
Liberals are breaking through with younger voters in this wave. Leadership, shared values and bandwagon effects are driving the Liberal vote. Shared values and time for a change drive Conservative voters. These are the topline findings of an online survey of 1,341 Canadian citizens sponsored and conducted by Innovative Research Group Inc. (INNOVATIVE) between April 3rd and April 7th, 2025. Results are weighted by age, gender, region, education, …
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Bias Distribution
- 60% of the sources lean Right
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